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Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Tucker Carlson, a former Fox News host, is reported to have entered the paid content field. On December 11th, according to informed sources, Tucker Carlson will launch his own subscription streaming service. The former Fox News host officially entered the paid content field several months after he released the video on X. The service, called Tucker Carlson Network, is expected to go live on Monday, with a cost of $9 per month and $72 per year. Initially, it will only be available through Carlson's website. It is reported that Carlson and his team discussed launching Tucker Carlson Network through X, but X didn't act quickly enough to provide the technology they needed to operate the subscription service.Market News: The Knesset group approved a bill to increase deficit ratio's GDP to 7.7%, which will be submitted to the Knesset plenary session for voting.

With the intensive IPO process of domestic semiconductor companies, we can seize new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry through the semiconductor ETF(512480). On December 11th, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed up 0.20% with a turnover of 1.29 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, the Cambrian led the rise, and Weir shares followed. In terms of decline, Zhongwei Company led the decline, and Haiguang Information followed suit. In the news, in the fourth quarter of 2024, the IPO acceptance review in science and technology innovation board has been accelerated, with 12 companies updating their review status, mostly in the semiconductor industry. According to industry insiders, from the current audit dynamics, materials, parts and components in the upstream of the industry, as well as AI chips in the design process, may be more popular in the future. Guojin Securities pointed out that semiconductor self-control is the general trend, and it is optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. CITIC Securities said that it is expected that the overall localization pace of the domestic semiconductor industry will be further accelerated, and the manufacturing sector is also expected to benefit. Investors can take advantage of the semiconductor ETF(512480) to grasp the new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry.South Africa's consumer prices rose by 2.9% year-on-year in November, and it is estimated to increase by 3.1%.The Hunan Provincial People's Procuratorate decided to arrest Lei Chunyong according to law. The case of Lei Chunyong (deputy department level), the former deputy secretary and vice chairman of the political consultative conference in Chenzhou City, Hunan Province, who was suspected of taking bribes and using his influence, was investigated by the Hunan Provincial Supervision Commission and transferred to the procuratorate for review and prosecution. A few days ago, the Hunan Provincial People's Procuratorate made an arrest decision on Lei Chunyong on suspicion of accepting bribes and using influence to accept bribes. The case is being further processed.

Zhewen Internet: Zhejiang Internet (600986) announced on the evening of December 11th that the company intends to authorize the management of the company to make an independent decision to dispose of the stock of Doushen Education Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Doushen Education") held by the company through centralized bidding or block trading. The authorization period is within 36 months from the date of deliberation and approval by the shareholders' meeting. As of the date of announcement, the company holds 61.06 million shares of Doushen Education, accounting for 2.95% of the total share capital of Doushen Education, and will lift the restriction on sales on December 29, 2024.Meifeng, Sichuan: The wellhead natural gas trial production and recovery project has entered the trial production stage. meifeng, Sichuan announced that the trial production and recovery project of "Jinshi 103 Well" invested and built by Dongcai Shuangrui has completed the joint commissioning, and the trial production LNG products meet the requirements of national standards and are now entering the trial production stage. The total investment of the project is about 70 million yuan, and the main construction content is a set of wellhead gas trial production recovery device with a daily processing capacity of 200,000 m and supporting utilities and auxiliary facilities.On the 11th, CSI 1000 index futures rose by 1.01%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract CSI 1000 index futures closed at 2,412, up or down by +1.01%, with a turnover of 147,000 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 7,210 lots. The total number of contracts of CSI 1000 index futures was 235,100 lots, a decrease of 70,300 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 237,700 lots, a decrease of 17,700 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 266,100 lots, a decrease of 16,500 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)